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Answer Upon - Earnings Season - A Time To Be Very Careful
How To Avail Of Credit Card Point Redemption share-based compensation, the company posted operating income of $2.1 billion, net income of $1.6 billion and EPS of 27 cents.I have a friend who’s a frequent traveler who’s most of the time always out of the United States. While he’s always traveling, his purchases done in other countries are done over his credit cards. He prefers using his frequent traveler credit card in buying his plane tickets as these that allow him to accumulate travel air miles. Whenever he buys plane tickets, can always redeem his accumulated travel miles to avail of discounts on his plane ticket or if he has accumulated a lot of air miles already, he can use them in buying his plane tickets alone. He does have other credit cards that were offered to him from US merchant stores. The only problem he has is as he’s always out in other countries, while he’s able to use these credit cards, he may not be able to always to use his accumulated points from those merchant sponsored credit cards because he seldom goes to those stores anymore. In availing of credit card points other than air miles, are there other ways of redeeming them assuming that an individual may not be around all the time to shop back in the locally based stores that co-sponsored those credit cards?The answer is yes. While an individual may be out of the country on business or leisure, the advantage provided by the internet has allowed consumers all around the world with much flexibility and benefits. Accumulated rewards points from credit cards offered by major US based merchant stores can also be redeemed online whenever he may make purchases over the internet. A person making a book purchase online using his credit card sold to him also by the same online book retailer he’s buying the book pu This time actual revenue was within the pre-announced range. And notice that price of Intel's stock did not react in any dramatic way. It did move lower in May due to the overall market and the NASDAQ falling. So what are we to make of this sample of earnings releases? Trading Online Markets' Approach As a trader who holds a stock days or weeks, I have a rule that I will not hold a stock into its earnings announcement. To often the price of stock falls immediately after earnings are announced. This discipline has protected me from incurring losses when a company announced its earnings. It saved me substantial money a number of times. If I am trading short term, I still follow this rule. I document the next earnings date on my Watch List, just to remind me to be aware of when earnings will be announced. At Trading Online Market's I am willing to hold through earnings if the company's fundamentals remain strong and the stock chart does not indicate any potential problems. First, I recommend everyone read the article by Herb Greenberg, Don't Get Blindsided, available at http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Story.aspx?guid=%7bE99E0285-7FBB-41D3-AD7D-C4077119D7BE%7d&siteid= which addresses some of the problems that need to be explored. Herb always takes a critical look at companies and presents a good perspective. In this article he comments on what are some of the Choosing A Color Scheme When a company announces their earnings, it usually affects the price of the company's stock, but not always as one would expect. Earnings season takes place during the weeks after the end of the quarter when companies announce their most recent earnings performance. Earnings announcements can have dramatic impact on the price of the company's stock. Typically, if a company's earnings exceed expectations the stock has an excellent chance to go up. However, if it meets or worse, misses expectations then the price of the company's stock will drop precipitously. Also, what if a company tries to lower expectations and then beats those lower expectations? And do companies manipulate their earnings? What should an investor do during this turbulent time? Before we answer these questions, let's look at an example. I am using Intel, a large and well run company that has a good reputation in the market and among investors for being open and complete in their communications with investors and analysts.When you begin the design of your Web site, one of the first things you need to do is decide on a color scheme. Although choosing colors seems like a relatively easy proposition, it's not easy at all. In fact, it's hard.One of the pluses we have as Web designers is that millions of colors are at our disposal. Unlike the print world, we do not have to pay for each color we use. If we want to use a specific hue of yellow, for example, all we need to know is the hexadecimal code for that particular color.One of the pitfalls of having millions of colors to pick from is that some people go crazy and use every color imaginable on their Web site. This is a big no-no. Not only does it look unprofessional to use 20 different colors on your home page, but depending on the colors you choose, your page may not be readable.It is extremely important to pick hues that complement each other. You will want to use a background color that contrasts well with the color of your text. People are used to reading black text on a white background. I keep this fact in mind when I design my clients' Web sites. Although I have never stuck with the black and white color scheme, I try to use a dark font on a light background. It makes for easier reading and a more pleasant experience for my visitors.Color affects our emotions. For example, the color red makes us hungry. If you're on a diet, it wouldn't be a good idea to set your table with a red tablecloth!Colors like blue and green are cool. Have you noticed in the summertime how sitting in a blue room automatically makes you feel refreshed?Yellow is a Intel's Earnings Punished Their Shareholders Intel's shareholders were punished on January 18, 2006 when the company announced its Fourth Quarter Earnings Report and the stock plunged 2.90 points or 11.4%. If you have access to a stock charting service you might want to look at the chart to gain a better understanding of the dramatic drop in share value. Needless to say, many investors were caught off guard. Since that date, those that are still holding Intel stock have continued to experience further losses. Not a pleasant experience. The reason I choose Intel for this example is it is widely held, a quality company with excellent management and they have a very nice way to demonstrate the problem that can take place during earnings season. Please do not misconstrue my comments on Intel to mean that their management was trying to hide information from investors and analysts. They were not. Intel releases their Revenue Announcements and Earnings Releases after the market closes on the day indicated. The market reacts to these announcements the next day it is open (some after market trading takes place, however, most of the volume is experienced the next day). Let's look at the events before and after this earnings announcement. On December 8, 2005 Intel provided the following release regarding their revenue expectations for the 4th quarter: Intel Fourth-Quarter Business Consistent With Expectations SANTA CLARA, Calif., Dec. 8, 2005 - Intel Corporation expects revenue for the fourth quarter to be between $10.4 billion and $10.6 billion, as compared to the previous range of $10.2 billion to $10.8 billion. The fourth-quarter gross margin percentage expectation has been narrowed to 63 percent, plus or minus a point, and is expected to be slightly above the midpoint of the new range. The previous expectation was 63 percent, plus or minus a couple of points. Capital spending is expected to be below the midpoint of the previous expectation of $5.9 billion, plus or minus $200 million. All other expectations are unchanged. Now let's look at the part of the earnings release after the market closed on January 17, 2006, keeping in mind the revenue announcement above: Intel Fourth-Quarter Revenue $10.2 Billion; EPS 40 Cents
Financial Review First, note that the revenue Intel reported for the fourth quarter was below the ranges they had indicated in their Dec 8, 2005 announcement ($10.2 billion vs. a range of $10.4 to $10.6 billion). Also, their gross margin was below what they indicated in their Dec 8, 2005 announcement (61.2% vs. 63%, plus or minus a point). As shown by the chart the market reacted positively to the revenue announcement on Dec 8, 2005. The price of the stock rose for several days, and then pulled back before rising again. Each rise stopped short of the previous high. If you believe in technical analysis, this indicates weakness, at least short term. On Jan 18, 2006 the price of Intel's stock dropped 2.9 points of 11.4%. The price continued to fall for several days. Obviously, investors were not satisfied with Intel's actual revenues and gross margin. They were also concerned that the market for Intel's products was weak and experiencing significant competition. Advanced Micro Devices, a competitor of Intel's has been able to capture some market share from Intel as well. Next let's look at their revenue announcement for first quarter 2006 on March 3, 2006: Intel First-Quarter Revenue Below Expectations SANTA CLARA, Calif., March 3, 2006 - Intel Corporation today announced that first-quarter revenue is expected to be between $8.7 billion and $9.1 billion, as compared to the previous expectation of between $9.1 billion and $9.7 billion, primarily due to weaker than expected demand and a slight market segment share loss. The company expects the first-quarter gross margin percentage to be adversely impacted by the change in revenue. Expenses (R&D plus MG&A) are expected to be lower than previously forecast due to lower revenue- and profit-related spending. And now Intel's first quarter earnings release:Intel First-Quarter Revenue $8.9 Billion This time actual revenue was within the pre-announced range. And notice that price of Intel's stock did not react in any dramatic way. It did move lower in May due to the overall market and the NASDAQ falling. So what are we to make of this sample of earnings releases? Trading Online Markets' Approach As a trader who holds a stock days or weeks, I have a rule that I will not hold a stock into its earnings announcement. To often the price of stock falls immediately after earnings are announced. This discipline has protected me from incurring losses when a company announced its earnings. It saved me substantial money a number of times. If I am trading short term, I still follow this rule. I document the next earnings date on my Watch List, just to remind me to be aware of when earnings will be announced. At Trading Online Market's I am willing to hold through earnings if the company's fundamentals remain strong and the stock chart does not indicate any potential problems. First, I recommend everyone read the article by Herb Greenberg, Don't Get Blindsided, available at http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Story.aspx?guid=%7bE99E0285-7FBB-41D3-AD7D-C4077119D7BE%7d&siteid= which addresses some of the problems that need to be explored. Herb always takes a critical look at companies and presents a good perspective. In this article he comments on what are some of the Credit Repair Is Possible - Here's How To Do It they have a very nice way to demonstrate the problem that can take place during earnings season. Please do not misconstrue my comments on Intel to mean that their management was trying to hide information from investors and analysts. They were not.Credit is essential nowadays. If you have bad credit, it is often difficult to rent an apartment, purchase a home, or get any form of credit loans at all. Having good credit is important in today's time.Many of us believe that once we have bad credit that we have to live with for at least seven years. Rest assured that this is not true. If you have defaults on your credit report, it is possible to have them removed.The first step is to obtain copies of your credit report from the three major Credit Reporting Agencies - Experian, Trans Union, and Equifax.Your credit report is not just a record of how you are currently managing your credit accounts. Your credit report is a history of everything you are doing with your credit now, and everything you have done in the past.The credit reporting agencies, also known as, credit bureaus receive your personal information through the same lenders who grant you credit. The credit bureaus list this information on your credit report, and then sell it to credit grantors who wish to review your credit history before they decide to grant you credit.Once you receive your reports from all of the agencies, review each report carefully to make sure that all the accounts belong to you. If you see any errors on your credit report make sure to take care of it right away by disputing the error with the Credit Reporting Agencies.By law, when you dispute an item, the Credit Reporting Agencies are obligated to investigate the error.If the error or negative information is found to be false or unable to be verified, it must be deleted or changed t Intel releases their Revenue Announcements and Earnings Releases after the market closes on the day indicated. The market reacts to these announcements the next day it is open (some after market trading takes place, however, most of the volume is experienced the next day). Let's look at the events before and after this earnings announcement. On December 8, 2005 Intel provided the following release regarding their revenue expectations for the 4th quarter: Intel Fourth-Quarter Business Consistent With Expectations SANTA CLARA, Calif., Dec. 8, 2005 - Intel Corporation expects revenue for the fourth quarter to be between $10.4 billion and $10.6 billion, as compared to the previous range of $10.2 billion to $10.8 billion. The fourth-quarter gross margin percentage expectation has been narrowed to 63 percent, plus or minus a point, and is expected to be slightly above the midpoint of the new range. The previous expectation was 63 percent, plus or minus a couple of points. Capital spending is expected to be below the midpoint of the previous expectation of $5.9 billion, plus or minus $200 million. All other expectations are unchanged. Now let's look at the part of the earnings release after the market closed on January 17, 2006, keeping in mind the revenue announcement above: Intel Fourth-Quarter Revenue $10.2 Billion; EPS 40 Cents
Financial Review First, note that the revenue Intel reported for the fourth quarter was below the ranges they had indicated in their Dec 8, 2005 announcement ($10.2 billion vs. a range of $10.4 to $10.6 billion). Also, their gross margin was below what they indicated in their Dec 8, 2005 announcement (61.2% vs. 63%, plus or minus a point). As shown by the chart the market reacted positively to the revenue announcement on Dec 8, 2005. The price of the stock rose for several days, and then pulled back before rising again. Each rise stopped short of the previous high. If you believe in technical analysis, this indicates weakness, at least short term. On Jan 18, 2006 the price of Intel's stock dropped 2.9 points of 11.4%. The price continued to fall for several days. Obviously, investors were not satisfied with Intel's actual revenues and gross margin. They were also concerned that the market for Intel's products was weak and experiencing significant competition. Advanced Micro Devices, a competitor of Intel's has been able to capture some market share from Intel as well. Next let's look at their revenue announcement for first quarter 2006 on March 3, 2006: Intel First-Quarter Revenue Below Expectations SANTA CLARA, Calif., March 3, 2006 - Intel Corporation today announced that first-quarter revenue is expected to be between $8.7 billion and $9.1 billion, as compared to the previous expectation of between $9.1 billion and $9.7 billion, primarily due to weaker than expected demand and a slight market segment share loss. The company expects the first-quarter gross margin percentage to be adversely impacted by the change in revenue. Expenses (R&D plus MG&A) are expected to be lower than previously forecast due to lower revenue- and profit-related spending. And now Intel's first quarter earnings release:Intel First-Quarter Revenue $8.9 Billion This time actual revenue was within the pre-announced range. And notice that price of Intel's stock did not react in any dramatic way. It did move lower in May due to the overall market and the NASDAQ falling. So what are we to make of this sample of earnings releases? Trading Online Markets' Approach As a trader who holds a stock days or weeks, I have a rule that I will not hold a stock into its earnings announcement. To often the price of stock falls immediately after earnings are announced. This discipline has protected me from incurring losses when a company announced its earnings. It saved me substantial money a number of times. If I am trading short term, I still follow this rule. I document the next earnings date on my Watch List, just to remind me to be aware of when earnings will be announced. At Trading Online Market's I am willing to hold through earnings if the company's fundamentals remain strong and the stock chart does not indicate any potential problems. First, I recommend everyone read the article by Herb Greenberg, Don't Get Blindsided, available at http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Story.aspx?guid=%7bE99E0285-7FBB-41D3-AD7D-C4077119D7BE%7d&siteid= which addresses some of the problems that need to be explored. Herb always takes a critical look at companies and presents a good perspective. In this article he comments on what are some of the Outsourcing Mail Order Fulfillment ord quarterly and annual revenue and operating income If you own an online business you know how hard it is to get the orders flowing in and yet after much hard work and the right combinations they do. Then you have a different problem. The kitchen table, family room and makeshift plywood tables under saw horses and boxes take up the entire garage. This of course is one way to do things and yes I have started businesses and run them out of my house before too. You are not alone and yet there comes a time when your business is crowding out your home life.There is another option and that is to hire out a mail fulfillment company to handle all these orders for you. Just filling out labels or printing them and pasting them onto boxes, packing the contents so they do not break can take all day and then some. Eventually you are working well into the night in an attempt to get it all done.You might be surprised as to how inexpensive it is to hire a mail fulfillment house and many even can assist in copying CDs, printing books and copying cassette tapes as well. Check around and consider outsourcing all your problems to a professional mail fulfillment house and then go sit in the Coffee Shop and contemplate how good life really is. Consider all this in 2006. Financial Review First, note that the revenue Intel reported for the fourth quarter was below the ranges they had indicated in their Dec 8, 2005 announcement ($10.2 billion vs. a range of $10.4 to $10.6 billion). Also, their gross margin was below what they indicated in their Dec 8, 2005 announcement (61.2% vs. 63%, plus or minus a point). As shown by the chart the market reacted positively to the revenue announcement on Dec 8, 2005. The price of the stock rose for several days, and then pulled back before rising again. Each rise stopped short of the previous high. If you believe in technical analysis, this indicates weakness, at least short term. On Jan 18, 2006 the price of Intel's stock dropped 2.9 points of 11.4%. The price continued to fall for several days. Obviously, investors were not satisfied with Intel's actual revenues and gross margin. They were also concerned that the market for Intel's products was weak and experiencing significant competition. Advanced Micro Devices, a competitor of Intel's has been able to capture some market share from Intel as well. Next let's look at their revenue announcement for first quarter 2006 on March 3, 2006: Intel First-Quarter Revenue Below Expectations SANTA CLARA, Calif., March 3, 2006 - Intel Corporation today announced that first-quarter revenue is expected to be between $8.7 billion and $9.1 billion, as compared to the previous expectation of between $9.1 billion and $9.7 billion, primarily due to weaker than expected demand and a slight market segment share loss. The company expects the first-quarter gross margin percentage to be adversely impacted by the change in revenue. Expenses (R&D plus MG&A) are expected to be lower than previously forecast due to lower revenue- and profit-related spending. And now Intel's first quarter earnings release:Intel First-Quarter Revenue $8.9 Billion This time actual revenue was within the pre-announced range. And notice that price of Intel's stock did not react in any dramatic way. It did move lower in May due to the overall market and the NASDAQ falling. So what are we to make of this sample of earnings releases? Trading Online Markets' Approach As a trader who holds a stock days or weeks, I have a rule that I will not hold a stock into its earnings announcement. To often the price of stock falls immediately after earnings are announced. This discipline has protected me from incurring losses when a company announced its earnings. It saved me substantial money a number of times. If I am trading short term, I still follow this rule. I document the next earnings date on my Watch List, just to remind me to be aware of when earnings will be announced. At Trading Online Market's I am willing to hold through earnings if the company's fundamentals remain strong and the stock chart does not indicate any potential problems. First, I recommend everyone read the article by Herb Greenberg, Don't Get Blindsided, available at http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Story.aspx?guid=%7bE99E0285-7FBB-41D3-AD7D-C4077119D7BE%7d&siteid= which addresses some of the problems that need to be explored. Herb always takes a critical look at companies and presents a good perspective. In this article he comments on what are some of the Are You Living Your Career Dreams? fall for several days. Obviously, investors were not satisfied with Intel's actual revenues and gross margin. They were also concerned that the market for Intel's products was weak and experiencing significant competition. Advanced Micro Devices, a competitor of Intel's has been able to capture some market share from Intel as well.Inherent within the human spirit is a desire for fulfillment, a longing to carry out our creative aspirations by reaching new heights of accomplishment. Yet often the yearning for fulfillment can be suppressed by fear and apprehension. Perhaps we aren’t feeling good enough, smart enough or able enough to pursue and fulfill our dreams.Uncover Your True Passion!If you are considering a change in your career direction or wish to enhance your business to a new level, but are hesitant to make the transition, let me assure you that it is never too late to choose anew. As a matter of fact, many people change career directions several times throughout a lifetime and some don’t even discover their true passions until much later in life. So, if you are not living your career dreams or if you’re ready to take the plunge by trying something new, now is the time to take a stand and simply do it.Step Outside of Your Comfort Zone!For sure the one inevitable way you won’t make your dreams a reality is by ignoring them. To bring them into actuality, you need to start someplace and usually the place to start is by taking stock of what it is you really want to do. The next step is making a decision that you are going to do it and then do the things that can lead you there. Because there are no magical answers and no formulas prescribed that will guarantee success, your job is to trust. But be assured, you’ll be called upon to express boldness as well as a willingness to take chances, for the key to reinventing yourself requires the willingness to step outside of your comfort zone. How else will you know wha Next let's look at their revenue announcement for first quarter 2006 on March 3, 2006: Intel First-Quarter Revenue Below Expectations SANTA CLARA, Calif., March 3, 2006 - Intel Corporation today announced that first-quarter revenue is expected to be between $8.7 billion and $9.1 billion, as compared to the previous expectation of between $9.1 billion and $9.7 billion, primarily due to weaker than expected demand and a slight market segment share loss. The company expects the first-quarter gross margin percentage to be adversely impacted by the change in revenue. Expenses (R&D plus MG&A) are expected to be lower than previously forecast due to lower revenue- and profit-related spending. And now Intel's first quarter earnings release:Intel First-Quarter Revenue $8.9 Billion This time actual revenue was within the pre-announced range. And notice that price of Intel's stock did not react in any dramatic way. It did move lower in May due to the overall market and the NASDAQ falling. So what are we to make of this sample of earnings releases? Trading Online Markets' Approach As a trader who holds a stock days or weeks, I have a rule that I will not hold a stock into its earnings announcement. To often the price of stock falls immediately after earnings are announced. This discipline has protected me from incurring losses when a company announced its earnings. It saved me substantial money a number of times. If I am trading short term, I still follow this rule. I document the next earnings date on my Watch List, just to remind me to be aware of when earnings will be announced. At Trading Online Market's I am willing to hold through earnings if the company's fundamentals remain strong and the stock chart does not indicate any potential problems. First, I recommend everyone read the article by Herb Greenberg, Don't Get Blindsided, available at http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Story.aspx?guid=%7bE99E0285-7FBB-41D3-AD7D-C4077119D7BE%7d&siteid= which addresses some of the problems that need to be explored. Herb always takes a critical look at companies and presents a good perspective. In this article he comments on what are some of the How to Start a Virtual Assistant Business share-based compensation, the company posted operating income of $2.1 billion, net income of $1.6 billion and EPS of 27 cents.“Falling into” a position such as a Virtual Assistant is not how it happens for everyone; I was very lucky. When I was starting out, I didn’t even realize the career path that I was choosing. My husband was working for a small web services firm as head of their web design department. They were often asked if they offered services such as web content writing, editing and proofreading and/or data capturing services for order forms or entry forms. This is where I came in; I had found my niche. I was working from home as a data capturer for a local company. I knew that I had the experience for what his clients were looking for, and with the data capturing position, I knew I had the discipline and time management skills needed to work from home. Offering to help with a few minor projects, I didn’t realize that a few years from that meager start, I would be working full-time (or at least as full-time as I’d like) from home as a Virtual Assistant, fully self-employed. Since 2000 when this started, I’ve expanded my services and my office. I now enjoy more writing & editing assignments and helping others establish their Virtual Assistant practices.What is a VA?A Virtual Assistant, or VA, is an independent contractor who provides administrative, secretarial, creative and/or organizational services to his/her clients viathe internet, email, snail mail, fax and telephone, whatever gets the job done! VAs can provide nearly all of the services of an in-house assistant at a fraction of the cost! Virtual Assistants have a vested interest in their clients’ success. The more a VA learns about a clien This time actual revenue was within the pre-announced range. And notice that price of Intel's stock did not react in any dramatic way. It did move lower in May due to the overall market and the NASDAQ falling. So what are we to make of this sample of earnings releases? Trading Online Markets' Approach As a trader who holds a stock days or weeks, I have a rule that I will not hold a stock into its earnings announcement. To often the price of stock falls immediately after earnings are announced. This discipline has protected me from incurring losses when a company announced its earnings. It saved me substantial money a number of times. If I am trading short term, I still follow this rule. I document the next earnings date on my Watch List, just to remind me to be aware of when earnings will be announced. At Trading Online Market's I am willing to hold through earnings if the company's fundamentals remain strong and the stock chart does not indicate any potential problems. First, I recommend everyone read the article by Herb Greenberg, Don't Get Blindsided, available at http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Story.aspx?guid=%7bE99E0285-7FBB-41D3-AD7D-C4077119D7BE%7d&siteid= which addresses some of the problems that need to be explored. Herb always takes a critical look at companies and presents a good perspective. In this article he comments on what are some of the issues investors should watch for before earnings are announced. Definitely worth the read. The companies on my watch list and in the portfolios are those that I believe the market has undervalued and are fundamentally strong. These stocks present buying opportunities at deflated prices. Usually they have pulled back due to overall market conditions, or the sector is out of favor. They may have even experienced some bad news that is temporary. As such I generally hold these stocks through their earnings announcements. In fact, often these companies will experience good earnings and beat expectations. You should monitor quarterly earnings announcements to be sure the fundamentals are still intact. Should the price pull back to a support level, then it might be a good opportunity to make a strategic buy. If part of the announcement changes your view of the fundamentals of the company, then it is time to sell. If the news is worse than you expected, then it is best to get of the stock, since bad news seems to follow bad news. Every stock is updated shortly before earnings are announced and then again after they are released with my opinion of what to do regarding the stock. Now if you are a longer term investor, earnings announcements may not present the same risk to the price of a company's stock. As long as the fundamentals of the company remain strong and the price has not reached or approached the target exit price, you may be willing to hold through earnings announcement. It is important to review the fundamentals of a company before they announce earnings, looking for signs of potential problems. Earnings Manipulation So do companies manipulate their earnings? Well, I found this study interesting. A University of Illinois economist who analyzed thousands of forecasts of publicly owned companies between 1989 and 1998 found that there was a significantly higher probability for a company to beat the consensus forecast if the forecast was lowered two weeks prior to the announcement. "We document empirically that many firms apparently have ways of lowering the forecasts as the earnings announcement date approaches," said Dan Bernhardt, the UI economist who conducted the study with Murillo Campello, an economist at Michigan State University. Bernhardt theorized that less experienced analysts were more likely to make late forecasts and were more likely to revise their forecasts than analysts who had covered a company for a longer period. Also there is sometimes a legitimate reason for management to lower expectations, or create "slack." Especially in fast-growing companies, earnings may change dramatically in the weeks or even days before a quarter ends. Early in my career I worked in the Finance department of a large bank preparing the performance reports for senior management and the Board of Directors. As you may know it is quite easy for banks to manipulate their earnings in addition to estimating taxes owed. Each quarter a bank estimates their loan losses that they will write off as an expense. Estimating this expense is part estimating what real losses and part what the CEO wants the earnings to be. Usually the CEO sought to even out earnings growth by increasing or decreasing the total amount of loan losses written. This allowed the bank to meet and usually beat expectations. Is this earnings manipulation? Possibly. Like so many things in life some definitely do manipulate their earnings and some are quite honest. Unfortunately accounting allows a fair amount of leeway in the interpretation of rules. Also, management tries to present the company in its best light. So, as investors we need to read the earnings release with a critical eye, looking for issues that may indicate problems. All this tells me that companies do adjust their earnings to try to exceed expectations. Most also try to stay within the accounting rules. However, I believe that the market is usually aware these efforts. As a result when they finally announce earnings that either meet or slightly exceed expectations, the stock is punished. A company must dramatically beat expectations before the price will jump up. Conclusion In conclusion, earnings season presents each investor with new challenges. Do the earnings of the company match up to expectations. Is the chart of the company indicating any potential problems? Do I hold through earnings announcements? Do I take advantage of any announcements and buy? The best way answer these questions is do your homework and to follow your discipline. It will keep you aligned with the best opportunities.
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