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Answer Upon - How Will You Deal With The Two Silent Killers Of Investment Accounts?
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when we have higher than normal inflation, P/E ratios contract.
And when P/E ratios are getting smaller (co
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The first silent killer in your account is inflation. Inflation (or deflation) or better yet, let’s call it price instability, is the universal “ignition switch” for bear markets. Too many in the market get wrapped up in pointing fingers at housing starts, interest rates, the latest scandal, poor earnings or some political event as the “cause” for a bear market. Price instability (whether it is inflation or deflation) has wiped out many investors.
Now, another way of saying we have “price stability” in our economy is to say we have relatively mild or low inflation. This is important: that stability allows the Price/Earnings Ratio (or P/E) to expand.
This is really important to understanding WHY we have bull and bear markets!
Now, many folks in the market often refer to the P/E ratio as a “yardstick” to determine whether a stock (or the market in general) is overvalued or undervalued.
Now, why am I talking about P/E ratios? Well, you need to know this: Bull markets start with very low P/E ratios. I mean REALLY low P/E ratios. And know this, too: bull markets end with very high P/E ratios.
Ok, so we’ve talked about P/E ratios and bull markets. Great. So then why is the title of this article talking about “silent killers?”
Because we are now in a phase of price instability, and increasing inflation. We are seeing signs of inflation and price instability all around us. Usually when we have these signals, the stock market has problems. But look, don’t get hung up on P/E ratios and math. Just remember this:
when we have higher than normal inflation, P/E ratios contract.
And when P/E ratios are getting smaller (con
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Now, another way of saying we have “price stability” in our economy is to say we have relatively mild or low inflation. This is important: that stability allows the Price/Earnings Ratio (or P/E) to expand.
This is really important to understanding WHY we have bull and bear markets!
Now, many folks in the market often refer to the P/E ratio as a “yardstick” to determine whether a stock (or the market in general) is overvalued or undervalued.
Now, why am I talking about P/E ratios? Well, you need to know this: Bull markets start with very low P/E ratios. I mean REALLY low P/E ratios. And know this, too: bull markets end with very high P/E ratios.
Ok, so we’ve talked about P/E ratios and bull markets. Great. So then why is the title of this article talking about “silent killers?”
Because we are now in a phase of price instability, and increasing inflation. We are seeing signs of inflation and price instability all around us. Usually when we have these signals, the stock market has problems. But look, don’t get hung up on P/E ratios and math. Just remember this:
when we have higher than normal inflation, P/E ratios contract.
And when P/E ratios are getting smaller (co
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This is really important to understanding WHY we have bull and bear markets!
Now, many folks in the market often refer to the P/E ratio as a “yardstick” to determine whether a stock (or the market in general) is overvalued or undervalued.
Now, why am I talking about P/E ratios? Well, you need to know this: Bull markets start with very low P/E ratios. I mean REALLY low P/E ratios. And know this, too: bull markets end with very high P/E ratios.
Ok, so we’ve talked about P/E ratios and bull markets. Great. So then why is the title of this article talking about “silent killers?”
Because we are now in a phase of price instability, and increasing inflation. We are seeing signs of inflation and price instability all around us. Usually when we have these signals, the stock market has problems. But look, don’t get hung up on P/E ratios and math. Just remember this:
when we have higher than normal inflation, P/E ratios contract.
And when P/E ratios are getting smaller (co
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Ok, so we’ve talked about P/E ratios and bull markets. Great. So then why is the title of this article talking about “silent killers?”
Because we are now in a phase of price instability, and increasing inflation. We are seeing signs of inflation and price instability all around us. Usually when we have these signals, the stock market has problems. But look, don’t get hung up on P/E ratios and math. Just remember this:
when we have higher than normal inflation, P/E ratios contract.
And when P/E ratios are getting smaller (co
Have you got an opportunity to closely look at some of many websites you browse daily which doesn’t look appealing in their design and graphics? Most likely these sites are poorly formatted and take lot of time in loading. Do you know why would such things happen? It’s because the website is not build by a professional web designer and is a work of a less experienced or a new comer in web and graphics design industry. To save up all the pain and hassle involved in building a professional looking we
when we have higher than normal inflation, P/E ratios contract. And when P/E ratios are getting smaller (contracting), it’s going to be tough to make money in the market.
I said “tough” but not impossible. You can’t take your boat out to the middle of the lake and just expect the fish to jump into the boat for you. You need to do some work.
Not coincidentally, the market has remained stagnant the past few years. In many markets, we are in roughly the same place where we stood five or six years ago. Except now we have increased inflation. Oh and there’s more...
Many (but not all) bear markets end with the market averages in roughly the same spot they began.
After several violent years of market action (up and down), there seems to be no movement in the big picture. But remember, the major market averages often complete a bear market in the same spot...NOT your mutual funds and stocks! They get destroyed! Which is why I started this article with the phrase: silent killers!
So, the second “silent killer” in your investment account is: ourselves! I should say our own apathy. It’s just too easy for us to see a stock or mutual fund in our account that’s not keeping up with the market and tell ourselves to “give it a little longer” or “I can’t sell that...it’s a core holding!” Hogwash. There should be no such thing as a core holding. If it is not performing, you need to examine why you are holding the fund or the stock.
So many folks in the market will wake up, like Rip Van Winkle, a few years down the road and discover that we have been in a bear market since 2000. They should have been doing a better job
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